538 Polls President 2024 Date. She has now not only made up ground in public polls in the swing states in her campaign for president, but has now actually taken narrow leads. One of the nation's most accurate forecasters in 2020.

Harris led trump 49% to 45% among registered voters and 51% to 45% among likely voters in a poll by ipsos, abc news and the washington post released aug. They adjust for whether polls are conducted among registered or likely voters, the presence or absence of rfk jr., and house effects.